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LAST UPDATE:3/13/2025
CQM 20250314 CQM 20250314

Based on CQM forecasts, real GDP and real final sales show a very pessimistic outlook in 2025Q1, while other aggregated indexes do an optimistic one . There are 4 monthly economic indicators that have created uncertainties for economic growth in 2025Q1. They are February imported goods, retail sales of durable goods, inventories for retailers and March CPI of nondurable goods. PCA forecasts that are not affected significantly by a single economic indicator show economic growth rate in 2025Q1 to be 0.35% and GDP price deflator to be 4.24%.


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